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MLB Power Rankings + Sports Betting Model, 2022 Best Ball Rankings/Projections for Underdog, DraftKings, FFPC and Yahoo. Mayo (@ThePME) was named 2021 Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year by the Fantasy Sports Writing Association, while also being a finalist for Podcast of the Year and Golf Writer of the Year. Hickok snapped a streak of eight straight missed cuts with a T-29 at The Genesis Invitational. (Photo: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports). A strong field will tee off Thursday beginning at 11:30 a.m. (Subscribe for video or audio.) Hes separating himself from fields via his strong iron play but has left some room for improvement on the greens. McDonald also has been on the money on his matchup plays and cashed in huge on Brendan Steele (80-1) as the first-round leader at the Zozo Championship. Hes been good not great, but we are being asked to pay for greatness at this price tag. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long- and short-form content, owner of the Mayo Media Network and host of The Pat Mayo Experience. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | section: | slug: arnold-palmer-invitational-2023-props-odds-field-expert-head-to-head-golf-matchup-picks-pga-best-bets | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | The uncommon paspalum greens could level the playing field for him as a putter, and that could boost him up big time. The PGA Tour begins the Florida swing this week with the Honda Classic, which will once again play at PGA National (par 70, 7,125 yards, The PGA Tour continues this week with the first stop on the Florida swing and the Honda Classic. He has two top-five finishes in his past four trips to this event. The 2023 calendar year hasnt started the way Wise would have liked, and hell enter this week coming off back-to-back missed cuts. Will Zalatoris tees off on the tenth during the third round of the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play golf tournament. Poston. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. Hes gained strokes with the flatstick in six of his last seven measured events. Hennessey: Viktor Hovland An easy case to make to roll with the two-time defending champ. The good news is that List has gained strokes putting in three of his five trips to Bay Hill, so heres hoping he can unlock those feels on the greens this week. Hes played this event once, finishing T-49 in 2015. Welcome to the PGA DFS Page for Stokastic, home to the worlds No. Stop Guessing and Start Winning! Hes gained strokes on approach in seven straight starts, something he hasnt done since the fall of 2017 when he was ranked inside the top 10 in the world. For live odds, visit BetMGM. The 29-year-old pulled out in the second round of the Sentry with a sore back but feels ready to return. RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Rory McIlroy ($10,600 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). Gdula: Tony Finau (-118) over Aaron Wise (FanDuel) Finau is by far the best in the field over the past 20 rounds, and even using past-year data with recency adjustments, my head-to-head model thinks Finau should be around -135 in this matchup over Wise. Mayo: Adam Long (-110) over J.J. Spaun (DraftKings) Long hasnt had much juice recently but he is the prototype for a solid result at Mayakoba. His perception has been buoyed by two straight third-place finishes at the Sony Open and American Express. He was finalist for four FSWA Awards in 2020 (Best Podcast, Best Video, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Hovland on the other hand comes into this event looking to complete the hat trick of wins here in the space of three years. Day is elite in multiple metrics. Get 50% off your first week or month with promo code SCORE, In-Season Data & Tools (may require NFL Express or higher), Draft Season Data & Tools (may require Draft Kit). He played here last year and posted a very impressive 22nd-place finish on his first attempt here at El Camaleon. Jhonattan Vegas ($8,600 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). Before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own,be sure to check out the PGA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine golf expert Mike McClure. Web12 of the Best PGA-Rated Golf Courses for Your Bucket List - SPY 1 week ago 1. While encouraging, that has been his best finish since his win at the BMW PGA Championship10 starts ago. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. Hes working on a four-year streak of top-10 finishes, including a runner-up in 2019. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. All rights reserved. Sure, many factors contribute to success and not all performers are defined by them, but the 2023 body of evidence already includes the likes of Eric Cole (P2), Ben Martin (T5) and Carson Young (T29), each of whom with attention-getting performances at PGA National last week. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at Combine that with a wild driver, and Spieth will likely be playing out of the thick rough often at Bay Hill, narrowing his path to the top of the leaderboard. Caddie: Aaron Wise (+220, Bet365) Wise has gone 10th, MC, second and 15th in his last four trips to Mayakoba, and hes coming off his third top-15 finish in his last four starts. Lee Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Brendon Todd (45-1, DraftKings) Todd is a past winner here at Mayakoba and also has a further eighth-place and 11th-place finish to his name here. Eric Cole ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,000 FanDuel). Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. The ball striking? USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Targets: Is Rory McIlroy Too Chalky? section: | slug: 2023-american-express-picks-predictions-odds-field-top-pga-expert-says-back-scottie-scheffler-this-week | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | BetMGM + Stokastic Promo Get 1 Free Month! Cantlay/Schauffele (8.9 percent), 2. Todd also comes into the event ranked 12th for Opportunities Gained over the last two months and 20th for SG/total over the last two months. Shelton earned a T-20 at Pebble Beach, which marked his third top-20 finish in his past five starts. We picked our Rounds 2 and 4: Alternate shot. Cole was impressive and a great story last week, but theres a big red flag in his stat profile. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. He missed the cut in both Phoenix and Los Angeles, struggling to put all four facets of the game together. Pereira enters the week with three straight top-30 finishes including a top 20 at the Valero Texas Open. The only thing worrisome about this play is he hasnt truly contended on the PGA Tour yet, even last week after he grabbed a share of the first round lead. Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets, all from the expert who's up over $9,600 since the PGA Tour restart, and find out. Its that kind of formula that yielded his breakthrough victory at Torrey Pines of all places. Hes playing well, with three straight top-25 finishes while peppering in three top-10 finishes within his last nine starts. Hell look to find some putting improvements this week on the greens at PGA National. hes lined up to tackle a brutish backdrop, he demands our attention. Min Woo Lee ($9,400 DraftKings | $11,000 FanDuel). Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. His success at this prompted FanShare Sports to enlist him as a guest writer, which evolved into him writing the weekly Under The Radar article. Take me to the Rocket League category page! You probably guessed that one of them was Tiger Woods, who did it an absurd six separate times, including two four-peats. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf DFS Fades & Pivots: Cameron Young Primed for Breakthrough, Fantasy Golf Sleepers & GPP Picks for 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups This Week, RSM Classic Data & Stats | PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups, DraftKings Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational | Jason Day, FanDuel Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational | Scottie Scheffler, PGA DFS Top 5 Sleepers: The Northern Trust DraftKings + FanDuel Picks This Week with Phil Mickelson | Today, 8/17, Top 5 PGA Fades: The Northern Trust PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel This Week | Bryson DeChambeau, Top 5 PGA DFS Value Plays: The Northern Trust PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel with Shane Lowry | Today, 8/17, Top 5 PGA Fades: Wyndham Championship PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel This Week | Hideki Matsuyama, PGA Championship DFS Picks Final Round DraftKings Fantasy Golf Picks & Predictions, Above the Cut: PGA DFS Advice & Daily Fantasy Golf Picks for the Wyndham Championship on DraftKings & FanDuel, The Stokastic PGA DFS Content Schedule | When and Where to Find All Our Free & Premium Content, PGA DFS: DraftKings & FanDuel Strategy Guide. Berrymans Arnold Palmer Invitational Core Plays: Few Handle Wind as Well as Scottie Scheffler. Following the first round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Pierceson Coody is in 82nd position with a score of +2.In the Sports Scores and Odds Hub . 2 Scottie Scheffler is back to defend his title while No. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. That will undoubtedly change soon, but Im not ready to bet on it at single-digit odds. Hes played at Bay Hill each of the last three years and hasnt finished worse than T-20. Zozo: Sungjae Im. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Kramer Hickok ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,300 FanDuel). Like the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, the annual trip to New Orleans is a great change of pace. The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. These DFS Golf cheat sheets will help you, The West Coast swing is already at an end as the PGA Tour moves to its seventh event of the season. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at (Photo by Derick E. Hingle/USA TODAY Sports). Caddie: Jason Day (45-1, DraftKings) Theres something quietly brewing right now with the former World No. Hes now giving strokes back to the field on the putting surfaces in seven of his past nine measured starts. 1 Jon Rahm is looking for his fourth win of 2023. Max Homa and Talor Gooch. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 Hes gained 17.03 strokes putting over his last six measured starts, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. His game can clearly travel and his upside is immense. Gehman: Brian Harman (35-1, DraftKings) Harman is one of the most fascinating players in this field. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! On the odds board in Vegas, Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy top the list of favorites, followed by Justin Thomas, Patrick Cantlay and Sam Burns. But we arent making one pick. Were making three. The future of golf betting? Heres what the PGA Tour thinks it will look like The game were playing is on Chirp, a free-to-play mobile game. Follow Rob Bolton on Twitter. The field includes 44 of the top 50 players in the World Rankings, which is the most of any event since the 2022 Open Championship. Past results: Golf Digest's betting panel caught fire at the end of the summer, correctly predicting the winner in five of the final six events of the season. His iron play has been downright putrid, and Im not sure he can sustain gaining six strokes on the greens like he has the last two starts. Though he was never really at the top on Sunday with a chance to win, he played great in the runner-up finish and that should translate to another chance to win here. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. Hopefully he can ride his sterling swing-season form, pick up another win and make things right with El Tucan. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational DFS picks 2023: Rory McIlroy's staggering advanced metrics, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion. Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+375 = Top 20) His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray. His last four starts, not including the staggered-start Tour Championship, resulted in two wins and a T-5. His form is great, ranking second in the field for SG/total over the last two years and 11th for SG/total over the last two months. His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray. Over the past 100 rounds, hes the fourth-best tee-to-green player in the field, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. The odds are a bit too long as a result. Chris Kirk ($9,900 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). RELATED:10 golfers who will make you money in the 2022-23 PGA Tour season. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+550, FanDuel) Ill take the easy pick with Rahm this week. Prizepicks + Stokastic Promo Get a Free Month! This hasnt been the run of golf that Conners was hoping for this season. Written by Jason Rouslin and released on Sunday evenings. , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. Play with friends. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. TPC Scottsdale 3. Strokes gained/approach is also incredibly valuableagain, only six other courses were more correlated to success. It should be a birdie-fest this week when several of the world's top golfers descend on La Quinta, Calif. for the PGA Tour's 2023 American Express. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. Im not really understanding why Henleys priced up here just below the elites. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Pebble Beach Golf Links 2. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. The pair are former roommates and like the Gooch/Homa pair, will have great chemistry on the course. Rahm, who won this tournament in 2018 and rallied for victory in his last outing at the Sentry, is the 11-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook's latest The American Express 2023 odds. Those serve as his only two top-15 finishes over his past 14 starts. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. The second-place finish is the Europeans fourth top-12 in his last six events. Poston Repeat Last Years First-Round Heater? PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Finau has yet to make his 2023 season debut, but dont allow yourself to forget how he finished last season. PGA DFS Optimizer Picks Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jordan Spieth at a Ball Striking Venue is a Lock, 2023 Honda Classic First Round Leader Picks: Garrick Higgo Can Surprise Everyone, 2023 Genesis Invitational First Round Leader Picks: Jordan Spieth Looks Ready to Start Fast, 2023 WM Phoenix Open First Round Leader Picks: Russell Henley Could Sneak Up On Everyone. Hes gained more than 10 strokes to the field in nine of his past 10 starts worldwide, which is a staggering number. One of the most accurate players in the field and always seems to make the putts he should. Now he heads back to Bay Hill, where he has dominated in his careerhe has gained a staggering 74.68 strokes to the field across eight starts, or just over 9.3 strokes per event, which includes a win in 2018 and six other top-15s. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Honda Classic DFS picks 2023: Play this breakout star at PGA National, Max Homa, fighting back tears, says he will win again at Riviera, LIV Golf announces teams, players for 2023; Four PGA Tour players, Pieters officially join league, These are the questions you should be asking yourself before buying new clubs, Brian Urlacher on his proud moment in the WMPO pro-am, an unlikely eagle at Augusta National and making his first ace on a par 4 (! How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in . Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. As Joel Beall of Golf Digest noted, the video compilation show Worlds Funniest Animals also aired on Saturday drew more viewers than LIV Golf did. Day, a 12-time PGA Tour winner, has three straight top-10 finishes and has yet to finish worse than 18th place in 2023. Learn the game and know the odds. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Collin Morikawa (18-1, DraftKings) The results havent been close to elite in the swing season, but thats all 100 percent putting related. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Detry will be coming into this event brimming with confidence after his runner-up finish last week. Overall, 23 of the games best 25 players will tee it up come Thursday. Golf Predictions. Sam Ryder ($7,000 DraftKings | $8,300 FanDuel). Thats his second top-25 finish in his first four starts during this campaign. ), one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Collin Morikawa (16-1, FanDuel) El Camaleon should suit Morikawa very well. Hes been quiet of late but he still connected for a T11 at PGA West, and we can count on him to find fairways at Bay Hill. These odds, in a tournament where we typically see a few A look at past performance charts from Golfstats site founder Sal Johnson shows golfers in the field this year who have finished top-10 multiple times over the last six years include: Rory McIlroy, Marc Leishman, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Tyrrell Hatton, Sungjae Im, Tommy Fleetwood, Chris Kirk, Luke List, Keith Mitchell and Lucas Glover. Caves Valley Golf Club, 2. The other was Stuart Appleby, who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2004, 2005 and 2006. Rob Bolton is a Golfbet columnist for the PGA TOUR. Per stats guru Justin Ray, only two other players have pulled off the rare accomplishment in the past 40 years on tour. Morikawa is fresh off a T-6 at Riviera where he gained 8.25 strokes from tee-to-green, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. His stat profile is full of inconsistency, and his inaccuracy off-the-tee could lead to big numbers in Florida this week. If he can just stop losing a billion strokes off the tee each week, hell become a popular play again. There are more questions than answers coming from the Thomas camp right now. 2023 American Express First Round Leader Picks: Can Davis Riley Start Hot? For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. 2023 Honda Classic Golf DFS Fades & Pivots: Alex Noren Fooling Everyone By Missing Cuts? Rai is one of the worst Bermudagrass putters in the field, and hes lost strokes on approach in four of his past five starts. Brent Grant ($6,400 DraftKings | $7,600 FanDuel). Thats, by far, the best mark in this field. Rory McIlroy, No. He held the lead for much of the Farmers Insurance Open, finishing T-4, before consecutive T-20 finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles. 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, field. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for The exciting thing for Bezuidenhout is his course history. Showdown Spotlight Articles: Released after the conclusion of play each day, this article is to give some ideas for Showdown contests, and updates to the daily action in case one missed it. Sungjae Im ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). Top-10 results from the Bermuda Championship: Gehman: 1 for 1 (Thomas Detry +225); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Hennessey: 1 for 6 (up 2 units); Mayo: 1 for 5 (up 0 units); Gdula: 1 for 6 (down 0.1 units); Caddie: 1 for 6 (down 0.5 units); Alldrick: 1 for 6 (down 1 unit); Gehman: 1 for 6 (down 2.75 units); Powers: 0 for 6 (down 6 units), RELATED: A death stare from Tiger, playing Tony Finau for cash and more with Doug Smith. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Though playing from the fairway is important, the course regression model at RickRunGood.com indicates that clubhead speed is more indicative of successonly six other courses were more correlated to success last year. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for , where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for , the Score and GolfWRX. 1. Highlighted by The Bear Trap, one of the most difficult three-hole stretches on tour, the winning score of this event is routinely in single digits under-par. Now he gets to battle a much weaker field, where he should be able to separate himself more frequently. Each lineup consists of four starters and two CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. The PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Florida this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in. One of these players had an excellent finish his last time in Palm Springs and has been in solid form.You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Since his emergence on the scene last summer, there is no golfer in this field gaining as many strokes on approach (0.75 per round) in as many rounds (67) as Kim. He just missed a massive 130-1 score last week when Hayden Buckley finished second at the Sony Open. This site is strictly intended for adults (18+) There is trouble lurking off nearly every tee shot, and youll certainly see a few big numbers this week. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. 13 in the Power Rankings for The Honda Classic, he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). Svensson rebounded from MCs at Torrey Pines and Phoenix with a T-9 at Riviera, and hell find a reprieve in this field. The pro-am event, once known as the Bob Hope Desert Classic, has an average winning score of 24 under par over the past 10 years. Scheffler has four straight top-10 finishes, including a runner-up at the Hero World Challenge.You can see who he is backing this week at The American Express 2023 at SportsLine.